Australia Labour Force – weak and no signs of improvement

Today’s release of the – Labour Force data – for October 2014 by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is the since it made extraordinary admissions about the breakdown of seasonally adjustment methodology, which had made the last three months’ data largely unbelievable. See below for comment on that. Today’s major revision shows that employment growth was modest in October after two consecutive months of negative growth. Unemployment edged up again this month although the unemployment rate remained stable (when rounded to one decimal place – it actually rose a little in unrounded terms). The participation rate edged up a little but remains well below recent peaks. Monthly hours of work rose but that was due to the fact that full-time employment growth dominated the overall tepid employment expansion. The teenage labour market deteriorated further and has been signalling a state of emergency for several years now – a crisis ignored by the policy makers.

Read more
Back To Top