Australia’s national broadcaster puts out economic misinformation

I am using today to sketch out some ideas for my next book with Thomas Fazi as a follow up to Reclaiming the State: A Progressive Vision of Sovereignty for a Post-Neoliberal World (Pluto Books, 2017). I am also lying low from the Australian media given that it is less than a week to go before the Australian Treasurer delivers his annual fiscal statement (aka ‘The Budget’). The standard of commentary and hysteria about this event and what it means seems to be getting worse. So I have a radio blackout today and am listening to music as I work instead. But here is a snippet of what Australians are being fed – in this case from our national broadcaster who, with public money, sets out (probably in a state of ignorance) to deceive its listeners (and these days, its readers). It is shocking really to think that a public broadcaster in this day and age can render such a biased (and error-ridden) rendition of a subject matter that is so important.

Deception from the ABC

I had the misfortune to stumble across this article posted by journalists at the Australian Broadcasting Commission (ABC), which is our public broadcaster.

On May 1, 2018, they published this travesty – Federal budget jargon buster: Work through the waffle – trying, no doubt, to give the impression that they are clever and the average citizen is dumb – read their introduction to see that.

Some of the entries are factual such as what ‘bracket creep’ is in a progressive tax structure.

Then you get to the “Jargon buster” entry for “Debt vs. deficit” and we read that:

Politicians of all stripes are fond of comparing the budget to a family’s finances, but this often leads to confusion.

Not confusion, plain and simple deception which creates a fictional world.

There is no comparison between the fiscal balance of a national, currency-issuing government and a household.

Households use the currency and must finance their spending. A sovereign government issues the currency and must spend first before it can subsequently tax or borrow.

A currency-issuing government can never be revenue-constrained in a technical sense and can sustain deficits indefinitely without solvency risk.

Our own personal budget experience generates no knowledge relevant to consideration of government matters.

This is related to the claims that governments have to ‘live within their means’.

Conservative politicians often claim the government will run out of money if it does not curb spending. They attempt to give this statement authority by appealing to our intuition and experience – that is, they draw on the household budget analogy, and claim that governments, like households, have to live within their means.

This analogy resonates strongly with voters because it easily relatable: we intuitively understand that as individuals, we cannot indefinitely live beyond our means.

A currency-issuing government has no intrinsic financial constraints: government will never run out of money to build a hospital or pay health professionals, but the materials to build the facility and the skilled workers to run it may not be available.

Fiscal space is thus more accurately defined as the available real goods and services available for sale in the currency of issue. These are the ‘means’ available to government to fulfil its socio-economic charter.

The currency-issuing government can always purchase whatever is for sale in its own currency.

The ABC then claim that:

When a politician says they are balancing the books and returning the budget to surplus, it gives the impression that they are clearing the government’s debt.

The reality is that the deficit is just the amount of money the government spends beyond what it receives in a financial year.

Just because you return the budget to surplus does not mean that the debt incurred by the previous deficits disappears.

Yes it does, as soon as the most-dated debt instrument reaches maturity it automatically disappears.

Public debt is issued at maturities (a certain time when it is paid back) irrespective of what happens to it after it is issued in the primary market.

Eventually the holder of the debt, at the time of maturity, will get their cash.

Public debt is the stock that relates to the flow of expenditure that is the deficit (the net outcome of two flows – spending and taxation.

If the government is running a fiscal surplus it is taking more out than it is putting in, which squeezes the non-government sector for liquidity, and forces that sector to shed financial wealth.

Of course, as I have previously noted that there is no sense that you can relate the debt issuance to increasing the spending capacity of the currency-issuing government.

The Australian public have probably forgotten by now but in 2002, the Federal government created a “Review of the Commonwealth Government Securities Market” as a result of the public debt market becoming very thin (not much for sale).

This situation arose because the Government had been retiring its net debt position as it was running fiscal surpluses. They came under pressure from the big financial market institutions (particularly the Sydney Futures Exchange) to continue issuing public debt despite the increasing surpluses.

The financial markets wanted the corporate welfare embodied in the public debt – it is risk free and a perfect vehicle to park funds in uncertain times and also as a benchmark to price private financial assets that do carry risk.

At the time, the federal government was continually claiming that it was financially constrained and had to issue debt to ‘finance’ itself.

But, given they were generating surpluses, then it was clear that according to this logic, the debt-issuance should have stopped.

The upshot was that the Government agreed to continue to issue debt even though it was running surpluses as a sop to the corrupt financial sector who needed their dose of corporate welfare.

The contradiction involved in this position was not evident in the debate although I did a lot of radio interviews trying to get the ridiculous nature of the discussion into the public arena.

I offer more detail on that scandal in this blog post – Direct central bank purchases of government debt

The ABC article continued to ‘explain’ (not!) debt and deficits by citing current Australian government debt levels and claiming that that:

… $317.2 billion sounds like (and is) a lot of money, by international standards Australia’s public debt is quite low, sitting at 18 per cent of GDP — which is the value of what Australia’s economy produces each year.

They could have said that it was irrelevant and just the record of non-government accumulation of net financial assets as a result of the government bestowing wealth on the non-government sector via their fiscal deficits.

But, no, they wanted us to believe it is “a lot of money” as a warning.

And then, we read:

While government debt can pose problems, it is not quite the same as personal debt and can often serve a purpose.

And the wheels have fallen off well and truly by this time.

They might have actually dared to articulate what “problems” government debt can pose rather than just assert it.

I presume they might have tried to rehearse the tedious conservative claim is that the sovereign issuer of currency is at risk of default if the public debt ratio rises above some threshold (often construed as 80 per cent).

But, the reality is clear, as long as the government only issues debt in its own currency and provides no assurances about convertibility into another currency, the default risk is zero. They might for political reasons decide not to pay up but that is a different matter altogether and highly unlikely.

And in their attempt to be ‘cute’ (“not quite the same”) the ABC journalists lie. Australian government debt (which carries no credit risk) is nothing like personal debt which carries credit risk.

And we know that government debt is non-government wealth whereas private debt reduces private wealth.

Further, while private debt allows the non-government sector to spend more than it earns for a time, public debt levels gives the government no extra spending capacity.

This brings us to the other side of spending more than one earns – saving

We know that a currency-issuing government does not save in its own currency. Such a notion is nonsensical.

Fiscal surpluses do not represent ‘public saving’, which can be used to fund future public expenditure.

Saving is an act of foregoing current spending to enhance future spending possibilities and applies to a financially constrained non-government entity, such as a household.

Fiscal surpluses provide no greater capacity to governments to meet future needs, nor do fiscal deficits erode that capacity.

The constraints on government spending are not financial but are defined by the availability of real resources that are available for sale in the currency that the government issues.

The ABC journalists continue the downhill slide:

Governments take on debt by issuing bonds to investors who are paid a return, with ratings agencies allotting a credit rating to government debt. A high credit rating, such as the one Australia has, allows governments to borrow at very low rates, with investors trading profit for security.

Tell that to Japan who in the early 2000s had its credit rating downgraded to around junk and yields didn’t blip.

Ratings agencies are irrelevant. Investors know that debt from a currency-issuing government is risk free. And the government can always control yields on its debt at any maturity if it chooses.

Later, ABC journalists have an entry for “Structural deficit” and the readers are informed:

… structural deficit refers to a situation where the current tax structures of a country will fail to cover the expenses under normal economic conditions.

Or should I say ‘disinformed’.

A structural deficit has a very clear meaning – it is the fiscal position that would arise given the current policy parameters (tax and spending) if the economy was at full employment.

Full capacity or full employment is not the same thing as “normal economic conditions”.

You can see how language slips and concepts are lost.

In fact, the concept ‘structural balance’ was previously referred to as the ‘Full Employment or High Employment Budget’ balance.

The change in nomenclature is very telling because it occurred over the period that neo-liberal governments began to abandon their commitments to maintaining full employment and instead decided to use unemployment as a policy tool to discipline inflation.

So a ‘Full employment Budget’ would be balanced if total outlays and total revenue were equal when the economy was operating at total capacity. If the fiscal balance was in surplus at full capacity, then we would conclude that the discretionary structure of fiscal policy was contractionary and vice versa if the fiscal balance was in deficit at full capacity.

This is nothing like “under normal conditions”.

Further the use of the term “fail to cover” is ideologically loaded.

You can get more details on ‘structural’ balances here:

1. Structural deficits – the great con job! (May 15, 2009).

2. Structural deficits and automatic stabilisers (November 29, 2009).

Finally, then ABC journalists claim that:

Governments commonly run deficits in times of economic downturn as a means of insulating the economy and ensuring services are not impacted, with the understanding that surpluses during peak times will help pay down the debt incurred by going into deficit.

The history of Australia (since data was available) and other nations shows they, as a matter of norm, run fiscal deficits.

Fiscal surpluses have been very rare events in our history – abnormal – and have corresponded with rising non-government sector indebtedness and recession soon after.

To offer a history where governments actually oscillate between deficits and surpluses over a cycle is a revisionist exercise. They do not even though they talk about doing that.

Music to get over that …

I dug this classic out this morning from – Mike Bloomfield – giving us one of his really raw, trebly classics – Stop – off the Super Session album released in 1968 with Al Kooper and Steve Stills.

They were supported by members of Electric Flag and a session drummer Eddie Hoh.

The story of the two-day recording sessions is interesting – Mike Bloomfield didn’t front on day two so All Kooper quickly drafted Steve Stills into play.

As sharp as you will get – my vinyl recording still sounds as clean as that Gibson. And then Al Kooper comes in with the grungy Hammond.

This is one of many songs in the late 1960s that spurred me on to become a professional musician.

It was first recorded in 1968 as a soul song by Howard Tate – LINK.

Regular post resumes tomorrow.

That is enough for today!

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    11 Responses to Australia’s national broadcaster puts out economic misinformation

    1. Allan says:

      Typo: “taking less out than it is putting in”

    2. espghia says:

      “It is shocking really to think that a public broadcaster in this day and age can render such a biased (and error-ridden) rendition of a subject matter that is so important.”

      It’s not shocking at all. It’s par for the course, unfortunately.

    3. larry says:

      SuperSession: wonderful. I love Season of the Witch on that album.

    4. Chris Herbert says:

      Bill wrote: “But, the reality is clear, as long as the government only issues debt in its own currency and provides no assurances about convertibility into another currency, the default risk is zero.” What about cryptocurrencies? What if they become convertible into dollars? I read where some fellow was worth billions in cryptocurrency ‘dollars.’ Sounds like mischief to me.

    5. Ian says:

      Bill,
      “…as soon as the most-dated debt instrument reaches maturity it automatically disappears”.
      Is the pay out of this debt part of government expenditure at the time and if so would it require (under present practices) that the government take out more “debt” to fund that pay-out if it can’t be funded from revenue? Or is it simply paid out?

      This question of how government “debt” from deficits “accumulates” as the ABC seems to have suggested, or doesn’t accumulate, is one that I don’t understand. From reading your blog I find MMT quite compelling, but this question is troublesome when talking to others about MMT.

    6. Andrew Anderson says:

      Of course price inflation risk exists with deficit spending by the monetary sovereign but that risk can be greatly reduced by allowing all citizens to use their Nation’s fiat via safe, convenient, inherently risk-free individual checking accounts at the central bank itself.

      The above plus eliminating all privileges for the banks, credit unions, etc. such as government-provided deposit insurance, lender/asset buyer of last resort, positive yields/interest on the inherently risk-free debt (including bank reserves) of the monetary sovereign would greatly increase the demand for fiat and thus be price DEFLATIONARY in itself and thus REQUIRE deficit spending to prevent an economic crisis.

      This idea is gaining traction as shown by a St.Louis FED Article titled “The Case for Central Bank Electronic Money and the Non-case for Central Bank Cryptocurrencies”

    7. John Doyle says:

      By way of an antidote Get Up has launched a manifesto, which while not MMT savvy has some close parallels with it. They even make a reasonable argument about deficits without the all important mention that taxes do not serve as revenue -for the Commonwealth;

      https://futuretofightfor.org.au/

    8. J Christensen says:

      Chris Herbert: Take note that it’s the cryptocurrency that is pegged to dollars and not the other way around. Crypto isn’t even fiat money because there is no tax incentive to persuade people to use it.

      Of greater concern for the worlds fiat is the return of convertibility to gold in some currencies.

    9. Andrew Anderson says:

      Of greater concern for the worlds fiat is the return of convertibility to gold in some currencies. J Christensen

      Ah yes, the brilliant strategy of wasting time, energy, human ingenuity, and the environment on mining gold only to rebury it in central bank vaults. /sarc

      The greatest enemy of fiat is that citizens are not even allowed to use it except in the form of grubby, unsafe, inconvenient PHYSICAL fiat, a.k.a. “cash”. Instead, only banks, credit unions and other depository institutions may use fiat in the form of inherently risk-free account balances at the central bank.

    10. J Christensen says:

      Andrew Anderson: That’s it! Spot on. The power behind fiat money has been shifted out of democratically controlled public hands onto a segment of the private sector. That’s pretty much what defines neo liberalism. Commercial banks get to decide what goes instead of government.

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